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新冠对儿童的致命性远高于流感

新冠对儿童的致命性远高于流感

CHRIS MORRIS 2022-06-08
新冠对儿童的致命性,远远超过我们的普遍猜测。

新冠对儿童的致命性,远远超过我们的普遍猜测。

通过对美国疾病预防控制中心(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)的死亡率数据分析发现,2021年新冠导致600名儿童死亡,是疫情之前10年儿童平均每年流感死亡人数(120人)的五倍。

哈佛大学医学院(Harvard University Medical School)教授、波士顿布莱根妇女医院(Brigham and Women’s Hospital)医生杰罗米·福斯特博士汇总了相关数据。他表示,在奥密克戎疫情最严重的2022年1月,美国一个月有156名儿童死亡。

福斯特在研究论文中表示:“自本世纪初以来,美国只发生过七次一种呼吸道病毒在一个月内造成超过65名儿童死亡的情况。”有两次是流感:一次是2009年的H1N1流行病(对儿童的影响超过大多数人的预期),一次是2009年3月。另外五次都与新冠有关,均发生在2021年8月至2022年1月期间。”

本项研究的对象是17岁以下的儿童,许多儿童在此次疫情期间并不符合接种疫苗的资格。周四,白宫宣布5岁以下儿童最早从6月21日开始接种新冠疫苗。

有些人低估了疫情对儿童的影响,他们将老年患者的死亡率与儿童死亡率进行对比。福斯特对此提出质疑,他认为将这两个群体进行对比无异于拿苹果与橘子对比。

他写道:“你不会说80岁老人的癌症死亡率是8岁儿童的541倍(这是真实的数据),就低估儿童癌症的严重性。你会对不同群体单独评估。”

单独研究发现,患长期新冠的儿科患者数量也有所增加。

华盛顿特区国立儿童医院(Children's National Hospital)的传染病专家告诉《财富》杂志:“这种事有运气成分,即使最轻的病例或者无症状感染者也可能患长期新冠。”

福斯特指出,在已知的呼吸道病毒中,只有新冠病毒单月造成美国100多名儿童死亡。而在德尔塔和奥密克戎疫情期间,儿童死亡人数增加了两倍。(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

新冠对儿童的致命性,远远超过我们的普遍猜测。

通过对美国疾病预防控制中心(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)的死亡率数据分析发现,2021年新冠导致600名儿童死亡,是疫情之前10年儿童平均每年流感死亡人数(120人)的五倍。

哈佛大学医学院(Harvard University Medical School)教授、波士顿布莱根妇女医院(Brigham and Women’s Hospital)医生杰罗米·福斯特博士汇总了相关数据。他表示,在奥密克戎疫情最严重的2022年1月,美国一个月有156名儿童死亡。

福斯特在研究论文中表示:“自本世纪初以来,美国只发生过七次一种呼吸道病毒在一个月内造成超过65名儿童死亡的情况。”有两次是流感:一次是2009年的H1N1流行病(对儿童的影响超过大多数人的预期),一次是2009年3月。另外五次都与新冠有关,均发生在2021年8月至2022年1月期间。”

本项研究的对象是17岁以下的儿童,许多儿童在此次疫情期间并不符合接种疫苗的资格。周四,白宫宣布5岁以下儿童最早从6月21日开始接种新冠疫苗。

有些人低估了疫情对儿童的影响,他们将老年患者的死亡率与儿童死亡率进行对比。福斯特对此提出质疑,他认为将这两个群体进行对比无异于拿苹果与橘子对比。

他写道:“你不会说80岁老人的癌症死亡率是8岁儿童的541倍(这是真实的数据),就低估儿童癌症的严重性。你会对不同群体单独评估。”

单独研究发现,患长期新冠的儿科患者数量也有所增加。

华盛顿特区国立儿童医院(Children's National Hospital)的传染病专家告诉《财富》杂志:“这种事有运气成分,即使最轻的病例或者无症状感染者也可能患长期新冠。”

福斯特指出,在已知的呼吸道病毒中,只有新冠病毒单月造成美国100多名儿童死亡。而在德尔塔和奥密克戎疫情期间,儿童死亡人数增加了两倍。(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

COVID-19 is much more fatal to children than is commonly assumed.

An examination of mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that COVID killed 600 children in 2021, which is five times higher than the average number of children (120) who died of the flu each year in the 10 years leading up to the pandemic.

At the height of the Omicron outbreak, 156 children in the U.S. died in a single month, January 2022, says Dr. Jeremy Faust, Harvard University Medical School professor and physician at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, who compiled the data.

“Since the turn of the century, there have been just seven instances in which a respiratory virus killed more than 65 children in a single month in the U.S.,” says Faust in his study. “Influenza did it twice: once during the H1N1 pandemic of 2009 (which hit children harder than most realize) and once in March of 2009. COVID-19 accounts for each of the other five instances, all of which occurred between just August 2021 and January 2022.”

The study looked at children up to the age of 17, many of whom were not eligible for vaccination during parts of the pandemic. On Thursday, the White House announced children under 5 could begin receiving COVID-19 vaccinations as early as June 21.

Faust challenges what he calls minimizers, who point to the death rate of elderly patients versus pediatric ones, saying comparing the two groups is akin to apples and oranges.

“You wouldn’t downplay pediatric cancer by noting that 80-year-olds die of cancer at a rate that is 541 times greater that of 8-year-olds (which, by the way, is true),” he writes. “You’d assess these groups on their own terms.”

Separate studies have shown an increase in the number of pediatric patients with long COVID as well.

“It’s a crap shoot in that even very mild or asymptomatic cases can get it,” an infectious disease specialist at Children's National Hospital in Washington, D.C., tells Fortune.

Of known respiratory viruses, Faust notes, only one—COVID-19—has ever killed more than 100 children in a month in the U.S. And it did so three times during the Delta and Omicron waves.

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